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S2UndergroundWire
22 сент., 00:42
Analyst Comments: Going back to the height of the Cold War, the nations of Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia have been some of the most vocal NATO members concerning Russian aggression in the region, purely due to where they are located. To put it bluntly, these three nations tend to freak out quite often anytime Russia sneezes in their direction, simply due to geography....if Russia is to launch a Cold-War-style ground invasion of Europe, she will probably do so via the Suwałki Gap separating Kaliningrad from mainland Russia. As a result of this extreme closeness to Russia, NATO tends to rather unceremoniously treat these three nations as a "speed bump" for Russian tanks, which is intended to buy NATO some time to activate their true defensive line...which is mostly in Poland.Nearly all serious land-based defenses are in Poland and Germany, and have been for a long time. In nearly allS2 Underground GhostNotesGhostNotes - S2 Underground GhostNotes - Obsidian PublishHello everyone, welcome to GhostNotes, a project to convert a lot of the S2 Underground's research notes, investigations, data points, links, and much more, to the Obsidian platform. For those who mi…S2UndergroundWire
22 сент., 00:42
//The Wire//2300Z September 21, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: BALTIC STATES ISSUE WARNINGS CONCERNING ALLEGEDLY IMMINENT RUSSIAN HYBRID WARFARE ATTACKS. NEWARK ATC SECTOR SHUT DOWN DUE TO CUT CABLE THIS AFTERNOON. UNITED NATIONS GENERAL ASSEMBLY BEGINS IN NEW YORK.//-----BEGIN TEARLINE------International Events-Europe: Tensions are escalating between NATO and Russia, after Lithuania and Latvia have released alleged Russian plans to conduct more active "hybrid war" targeting within the Baltic states, as major military exercises continue around the region. In Lithuania, the STRONG GRIFFIN 2026 large scale military exercise came to a close after running for two weeks near the Belarussian border. Separately, a larger exercise (Perkūno Griausmas 2026) is currently underway, which seeks to test Lithuania's ability to shift from peacetime, to a wartime footing. As a result of both majorS2UndergroundWire
20 сент., 01:02
This week's Intel Update is out! As the energy crisis worsens and fuel concerns continue to increase in severity, the wars in the Middle East appear to be escalating once again. In Europe, tensions between NATO and Russia are also running high, as the continent tries to manage the energy crisis alongside the growing hybrid war. Link: https://youtu.be/ktzL28Cw2nAYouTubeIntel Update - Sep. 19 - Just Walk AwayResearch Notes/Bibliography can be found here: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground Common Intelligence Picture: https://www.arcgis.com/home/item.html?id=204a59b01f4443cd96718796fd102c00 Border Crisis Map: https://www.arcgis.com/home/item.html?id=…S2UndergroundWire
18 сент., 23:31
//The Wire//2300Z September 18, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: EUROPEAN ENERGY CRISIS CONTINUES TO DEVELOP AS WORLD LEADERS ATTEMPT TO MITIGATE EFFECTS OF DWINDLING SUPPLY. IRANIAN TARGETING ESCALATES IN STRAIT OF HORMUZ. SAUDI EFFORTS TO REPAIR EAST-WEST PIPELINE CONTINUE.//-----BEGIN TEARLINE------International Events-Europe: Throughout the continent, various world leaders are attempting to mitigate the effects of the energy crisis, which is rapidly increasing in severity due to Saudi oil shipments being largely cut off. Italy has reduced taxes on vehicle ownership, and earlier this week Spain introduced further reductions in their tax on diesel. France has indicated the desire to hold a G7 summit dedicated to addressing the energy crisis over the coming weeks, though no specific date has been announced.Strait of Hormuz: Multiple explosions were reported overnight, as Iran struckS2 Underground GhostNotesGhostNotes - S2 Underground GhostNotes - Obsidian PublishHello everyone, welcome to GhostNotes, a project to convert a lot of the S2 Underground's research notes, investigations, data points, links, and much more, to the Obsidian platform. For those who mi…S2UndergroundWire
17 сент., 21:57
As it stands, Saudi Arabia is seriously in trouble and it's extremely unlikely that Saudi Arabia will be exporting any sizable amount of oil for a while. European oil traders seem rather adamant that Saudi Arabia has already canceled most of their contracts with various customers for oil deliveries, however Saudi officials assure the world that everything is fine and they will be back to full capacity soon. Saudi sources have claimed that the SUMED pipeline (with it's capacity of 2.5 million barrels per day) can be used as a partial-backup to the East-West Pipeline being down. However there is one problem with this plan...geography. The SUMED pipeline is not in Saudi Arabia, it's in Egypt. And the only way that the Saudis can use this pipeline, is to load oil at Yanbu, sail it on ships across the Red Sea, and deposit the crude in Egypt to be sent down the pipeline. The single point ofS2 Underground GhostNotesGhostNotes - S2 Underground GhostNotes - Obsidian PublishHello everyone, welcome to GhostNotes, a project to convert a lot of the S2 Underground's research notes, investigations, data points, links, and much more, to the Obsidian platform. For those who mi…S2UndergroundWire
17 сент., 21:57
//The Wire//2000Z September 17, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: SAUDIS CLAIM THAT THE EAST-WEST PIPELINE WILL BE REPAIRED SOON, DESPITE THE TOTAL DESTRUCTION OF SEVERAL PUMPING STATIONS. UNITED STATES WEIGHS MITIGATION ACTIONS TO PREVENT DIESEL CRISIS FROM EXPANDING. PRESIDENT XI AND PRESIDENT RAMAPHOSA REPORTEDLY FELL ILL DURING BRICS SUMMIT.//-----BEGIN TEARLINE------International Events-India: Multiple world leaders have reportedly fallen ill after attending the BRICS summit in New Delhi. Chinese President Xi Jinping skipped the gala dinner and returned to China early, and South African President Cyril Ramaphosa also had to depart India early due to an unspecified illness. His Deputy President, Paul Mashatile, also fell ill at the same time, as has been confirmed by the South African government.Analyst Comment: Right now, it's not clear as to if the illnesses are the result ofS2UndergroundWire
16 сент., 21:47
The Union also alleges that there are no guardrails for the use of this technology, nor is there any transparency on how these sensors are being used by the MPD.Analyst Comment: As has been noted by nearly everyone who is not actively getting paid to promote these technologies, one aspect of tracking every human being in the country is that high ranking individuals (who might be prone to being blackmailed) are also caught in the sensor network's dragnet. As demonstrated by the DC Police Union (perhaps not in the way that they intended), nobody cares when the taxpayers are surveilled relentlessly...but the elites and most law enforcement agencies do care when they themselves are being monitored. The National Capitol Region (NCR) is a very sensitive area, and all elected officials might be a little upset to find out that every vehicle that arrives at their homes on Capitol Hill in theS2 Underground GhostNotesGhostNotes - S2 Underground GhostNotes - Obsidian PublishHello everyone, welcome to GhostNotes, a project to convert a lot of the S2 Underground's research notes, investigations, data points, links, and much more, to the Obsidian platform. For those who mi…S2UndergroundWire
16 сент., 21:47
//The Wire//2100Z September 16, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: OIL EXECUTIVES SOUND ALARMS REGARDING FUEL CRISIS, STATING THAT FUEL PRICES ARE LIKELY TO INCREASE SHARPLY AND IMMINENTLY. HOUTHIS SHOOT DOWN SAUDI FIGHTER AIRCRAFT. HELICOPTER CRASH REPORTED IN LOS ANGELES. DC POLICE UNION VOICES CONCERN WITH POLICE OFFICERS BEING SURVEILLED BY FLOCK SENSORS.//-----BEGIN TEARLINE------International Events-Europe: Fuel prices have begun to spike throughout the region, after Saudi Arabia announced that they will be halting shipments of oil to the European continent. In Germany, the average diesel price is almost $11.00 per gallon nationwide, having increased steadily over the past few days. Other than diesel and gasoline, natural gas levels are also at the lowest level in years, with natural gas continuing to dwindle after Qatar shut down production after being targeted during the height ofS2 Underground GhostNotesGhostNotes - S2 Underground GhostNotes - Obsidian PublishHello everyone, welcome to GhostNotes, a project to convert a lot of the S2 Underground's research notes, investigations, data points, links, and much more, to the Obsidian platform. For those who mi…S2UndergroundWire
15 сент., 19:58
Illinois: Yesterday evening the Joliet Refinery was shut down due to an undisclosed power outage caused the majority of hte facility to shut down. Emergency flaring was observed by locals as the entire refinery was shut down. As of this morning, the refinery is still offline, and is expected to be down until later this week.-----END TEARLINE-----Analyst Comments: The shutdown of multiple major refineries around the world over the past 72 hours is exceptionally concerning, and will have serious impact the longer these refineries and pumping stations remain offline. As nearly all refineries in the U.S. have been redlining at their absolute maximum production level for months now, it is absolutely certain that mechanical issues will emerge; when we run American refineries this hard for this long....things break.However, the other side of COIN is the passive understanding that rightS2 Underground GhostNotesGhostNotes - S2 Underground GhostNotes - Obsidian PublishHello everyone, welcome to GhostNotes, a project to convert a lot of the S2 Underground's research notes, investigations, data points, links, and much more, to the Obsidian platform. For those who mi…S2UndergroundWire
15 сент., 19:58
//The Wire//2000Z September 15, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: SABOTAGE ATTACKS STRIKE DUTCH RAIL NETWORK. JOLIET REFINERY OFFLINE DUE TO UNPLANNED POWER OUTAGE. SAUDI ARABIA ANNOUNCES COMPLETE HALT TO EXPORT OPERATIONS IN YANBU, FURTHER SEPTEMBER CONTRACTS FOR OIL WILL NOT BE DELIVERED. LIBYAN OIL FIELDS SHUT DOWN DUE TO WORKER PROTESTS.//-----BEGIN TEARLINE------International Events-Russia: Yesterday evening the conflict escalated, as Ukraine continued to target Russian petroleum infrastructure. The Syzran Refinery was struck by Ukrainian drones, which heavily damaged the facility.Analyst Comment: This series of attacks was notable as they occurred immediately after President Trump announced that both sides had agreed to not target each other's energy infrastructure. About six hours after this ceasefire was announced, it was broken by Ukraine's attack on this refinery. As of thisS2UndergroundWire
14 сент., 18:30
//The Wire//1800Z September 14, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: DAMAGE TO SAUDI PIPELINE WORSE THAN INITIALLY SUSPECTED. SAUDI FORCES PRESENT INDICATIONS OF MILITARY ESCALATION IN YEMEN, STRIKES IN SANAA REPORTED. COSTCO BEGINS RATIONING OF KIRKLAND BRAND MOTOR OIL.//-----BEGIN TEARLINE------International Events-Saudi Arabia: Over the weekend the scale of the damage to Saudi petroleum facilities has become more clear, with high resolution satellite imagery confirming catastrophic damage at several refineries and pumping stations. To the south, the refineries close to Yemen suffered the most damage. Farther north, the East-West pipeline is also much more heavily damaged than disclosed at first, and early estimates indicate a recovery time of several weeks at minimum.Overnight, Saudi forces retaliated by conducting strikes in Sanaa. Locals report Houthi positions being struck in theS2 Underground GhostNotesGhostNotes - S2 Underground GhostNotes - Obsidian PublishHello everyone, welcome to GhostNotes, a project to convert a lot of the S2 Underground's research notes, investigations, data points, links, and much more, to the Obsidian platform. For those who mi…S2UndergroundWire
13 сент., 02:26
This week's intel update is out. This week, the Saudis have found themselves in a bit of a pickle, with the sudden discovery that their alternate pipeline being located within Houthi missile range was rather suboptimal. Here at home, we have observed an increase in cyberattacks this week, and the looming energy crisis is becoming more serious with each passing week. https://youtu.be/uO8NImFhu94YouTubeIntel Update - Sep. 12 - Tanker WarsResearch Notes/Bibliography can be found here: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground Common Intelligence Picture: https://www.arcgis.com/home/item.html?id=204a59b01f4443cd96718796fd102c00 Border Crisis Map: https://www.arcgis.com/home/item.html?id=…S2UndergroundWire
11 сент., 15:57
On the retail side of the equation, prices for gasoline and diesel spiked yesterday afternoon throughout the United States. As diesel has been experiencing a global shortage (and thus was more strained already), several new records were set overnight. According to GasBuddy, a total of 28x states reported all-time-high diesel prices topping $6.00 per gallon. This brought the national average for diesel over $6.00 for the first time in history. At the more extreme ends of the spectrum, several gas stations in California reported maxing out their displays for diesel. The price was stuck at $9.999 simply due to the digital display on the gas pump not having the space for an extra digit, which would have brought the price into double-digit territory. As the scale of the attacks on the Saudi pipeline become known over the next few days, the impact to the global energy crisis will become moreS2 Underground GhostNotesGhostNotes - S2 Underground GhostNotes - Obsidian PublishHello everyone, welcome to GhostNotes, a project to convert a lot of the S2 Underground's research notes, investigations, data points, links, and much more, to the Obsidian platform. For those who mi…S2UndergroundWire
11 сент., 15:57
//The Wire//1500Z September 11, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: HOUTHIS STRIKE SAUDI EAST-WEST PIPELINE IN MAJOR MISSILE BARRAGE OVERNIGHT. HOUTHIS ALSO EXERT CONTROL OVER BAB EL MANDEB, AFTER CAPTURING ISLANDS THIS MORNING.//-----BEGIN TEARLINE------International Events-Saudi Arabia: Overnight Houthi forces conducted major missile and drone strikes on the Saudi East-West Pipeline. Local sources claim that the pipeline was struck in 8x different places, which resulted in major damage to the pumping and control stations along the entire pipeline network. A smoke plume roughly 80km long was observed on satellite imagery, along with a substantial column of smoke being observed from the ground.Analyst Comment: While the Saudis have not explicitly confirmed this, it is almost certain that this pipeline network is offline, and will be so for some time. These two pipelines were the mainS2UndergroundWire
10 сент., 21:07
If this island can be held, this will be a major problem in very short order. This island offers superior command and control of the southern Red Sea and the Bab el Mandeb Strait. It's also a mountain that is hard to attack, but easy to defend. The Houthis did conduct their own version of an amphibious assault with small boats, landing on the island this morning, however this assault was probably not necessary because most of the pro-Saudi, pro-Yemeni Government forces stationed on these islands immediately defected and/or surrendered, because these islands were being supplied by the port of Mocha...when Mocha fell, the islands were cut off within hours. As far as what military advantage this island offers, it's mostly beneficial for projecting power out into the Red Sea. There is a helicopter base on the island, but minimal port facilities and structures. If the Houthis can hold thisS2 Underground GhostNotesGhostNotes - S2 Underground GhostNotes - Obsidian PublishHello everyone, welcome to GhostNotes, a project to convert a lot of the S2 Underground's research notes, investigations, data points, links, and much more, to the Obsidian platform. For those who mi…S2UndergroundWire
10 сент., 21:07
//The Wire//2100Z September 10, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: HOUTHIS MAKE MAJOR TERRITORIAL GAINS AS SAUDI-BACKED FORCES COLLAPSE OVERNIGHT. TRUMP AND NETANYAHU BEGIN INCREASING STATEMENTS REGARDING IRANIAN NUCLEAR AMBITIONS. DAMAGE REPORTS EMERGE AFTER THE ESCALATION OF TARGETING THROUGHOUT THE MIDDLE EAST YESTERDAY.//-----BEGIN TEARLINE------International Events-Middle East: Following the large-scale missile strikes in Jordan, a more clear picture of the damage caused by Iran has emerged. MSM reporters with access to closed-sources stated that a total 8x F-15 fighter aircraft were damaged, most of which have been returned to service since the strikes. One additional A-10 ground attack aircraft sustained damage during the strikes, and was damaged beyond repair. In the Strait of Hormuz, Iranian forces have posted a video of the destruction of an American Saildrone Explorer UnmannedS2UndergroundWire
9 сент., 13:25
Based on the footage observed overnight, dozens of PAC-2 missiles were spent attempting to intercept Iranian missiles, with just one night of fighting probably expending more munitions than have been used over the past 2-3 months. Locals report that by the time the final waves of Iranian missiles arrived in Jordan, zero interceptors were even launched. As a reminder, based on the recent reports of munitions stockpiles, the US has largely expended most of the newer PAC-3 missiles for the Patriot system, and have been down to mostly the older PAC-2 missiles for several months. The PAC-2 missile is physically larger than the PAC-3, so each PAC-2 battery can hold fewer missiles than one equipped with PAC-3 canisters. The standard Launching Station holds four missile canisters, which can hold either 4x PAC-2 missiles...or 16x PAC-3 CRI missiles. This means that a Patriot system that has beenS2 Underground GhostNotesGhostNotes - S2 Underground GhostNotes - Obsidian PublishHello everyone, welcome to GhostNotes, a project to convert a lot of the S2 Underground's research notes, investigations, data points, links, and much more, to the Obsidian platform. For those who mi…S2UndergroundWire
9 сент., 13:25
//The Wire//1300Z September 9, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: INTENSE FIGHTING REPORTED IN MIDDLE EAST. IRAN CAPTURES HIGHLY CLASSIFIED AMERICAN DRONE SUBMARINE. UNITED STATES TARGETS 5X MORE TANKERS IN GULF.// -----BEGIN TEARLINE------International Events- Middle East: Major escalations were reported around the region, as the fighting on both sides has intensified back to levels not seen since the height of the war in April. From the United States, attacks on merchant shipping have continued. Overnight, a total of 5x civilian tanker vessels were targeted, some of which were sunk. As of this morning, the full list of ships struck by the United States since yesterday evening is as follows: M/T RIESCO (IMO: 9251822) - Sunk, Gulf of Oman M/T DERYA (IMO: 9569700) - Disabled, Kharg Island M/T HORIZON 1 (IMO: 9130456) - Disabled M/T KAVIZ (IMO: 9282041) - Disabled M/T CHARMINAR (IMO: 9318022) -S2UndergroundWire
8 сент., 12:42
//The Wire//1300Z September 8, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: WAR REIGNITES BETWEEN SAUDI ARABIA AND THE HOUTHIS, WITH SEVERAL STRIKES REPORTED ON SAUDI POWER PLANTS AND REFINERIES OVERNIGHT. SABOTAGE ATTACKS ON SUBSTATIONS IN GERMANY CONTINUE.//-----BEGIN TEARLINE------International Events-Saudi Arabia: Overnight, major escalations occurred between the Saudis and the Houthis, after a few days of fighting snowballed into a wider conflict. After several days of staging forces near Yemeni government sites, the Houthis caught wind of the Saudis preparing for a larger campaign, prompting the Houthis to launch major strikes overnight. The Jazan Refinery was struck again, with abnormal thermal hotspots being observed (which are not normal gas flaring) at much of the facility. To the south, the entire Jazan Bulk Plant remains on fire, and there is a large thermal hotspot near the airport. ToS2 Underground GhostNotesGhostNotes - S2 Underground GhostNotes - Obsidian PublishHello everyone, welcome to GhostNotes, a project to convert a lot of the S2 Underground's research notes, investigations, data points, links, and much more, to the Obsidian platform. For those who mi…S2UndergroundWire
7 сент., 23:50
From Ukraine and Russia striking civilian ships in the Black Sea, to Iran and the United States striking civilian ships in the Middle East...in many cases civilians are no longer protected by the general norms of what it means to be a noncombatant. Of course, Iran has been striking civilian merchants this entire war, so this new policy from the Pentagon does not excuse their behavior. But, the overall impact of the United States engaging in an eye-for-an-eye targeting doctrine is going to be made worse, because Iran has already stated that they will be retaliating in kind. Reflecting back on what prompted this new targeting milestone, the theories have been circulating for a few days. Over the weekend however, both the Iranian government and CENTCOM have added some context for why the United States struck the three tankers on Friday. Cutting through the narratives on both sides, theS2 Underground GhostNotesGhostNotes - S2 Underground GhostNotes - Obsidian PublishHello everyone, welcome to GhostNotes, a project to convert a lot of the S2 Underground's research notes, investigations, data points, links, and much more, to the Obsidian platform. For those who mi…
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